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<i draggable="gXzWhy"> <area lang="d306hWzu"></area> </i> 2024-12-14 00:17:39

Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut in December.Russian central bank survey: the average key interest rate in 2024 is expected to be 17.5%, compared with the previous forecast of 17.3%. The average key interest rate in 2025 is expected to be 21.3%, compared with the previous forecast of 18%.US official: Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik missile into Ukraine in the next few days. It is expected that Russia's Oreshnik missile is not a game changer on the battlefield, but an attempt to intimidate Ukraine.


After the release of CPI data, the yield of US Treasury bonds fluctuated and fell, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds reported 4.236%. The yield of two-year US Treasury bonds fell to 4.149%, and the yield curve of 2/10 US Treasury bonds steepened to 8.7 basis points.MetLife and General Atlantic are planning to form a reinsurance joint venture. It is reported that MetLife and General Atlantic are forming a reinsurance joint venture, which is the latest trend that insurance companies and alternative fund management companies jointly improve the return on low-risk insurance assets. Chariot Reinsurance, the joint venture, will have an initial equity of more than $1 billion, with MetLife and General Atlantic Insurance each holding about 15%. In addition, the insurance company Chubb will also become one of the major investors in the joint venture. The joint venture will be established in the first half of 2025, led by Cynthia Smith, who recently served as the head of the regional welfare business of Metropolitan Insurance Group.Blonde Technology: Shareholders holding more than 5% of the shares plan to transfer 2% of the shares internally. Blonde Technology announced that as of the announcement date, Ms. Xiong Haitao, a shareholder, holds 122 million shares of the company, accounting for 4.64% of the company's total share capital; Ms. Xiong Haitao and her concerted actions hold a total of 216 million shares, accounting for 8.2% of the total share capital. Ms. Xiong Haitao plans to sign an agreement with Warburg Wanying Private Equity Fund to increase it as a concerted action, and plans to transfer no more than 52.73 million shares to it through block trading, that is, no more than 2% of the total share capital. After the transfer is completed, Huabao Wanying will entrust Ms. Xiong Haitao with the right to vote on the shares. This internal transfer does not involve market reduction, and the shareholding ratio remains unchanged, which does not affect the company's control.


Analyst Anstey: Today's CPI data will hardly change anyone's prospects. However, those who still think that the Fed will remain inactive next week may reconsider, because inflation is not worse than expected. This seems to give the green light to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 18th.Analyst Anna: It is expected that the CPI report in November will show the core inflation rate of 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. This is consistent with the annual inflation increase of more than 3%, which is higher than the Fed's target of 2%. Since the middle of the year, the anti-inflation process of core CPI seems to have stagnated. There is no doubt that this will be a topic to be discussed at the FOMC meeting in December.Analyst Anna: It is expected that the CPI report in November will show the core inflation rate of 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. This is consistent with the annual inflation increase of more than 3%, which is higher than the Fed's target of 2%. Since the middle of the year, the anti-inflation process of core CPI seems to have stagnated. There is no doubt that this will be a topic to be discussed at the FOMC meeting in December.

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